Take Mike Weir (16-1), 1/6 unit: Weir missed the cut in his country’s national championship nine times before finally playing the weekend in 2000, when he finished 70. Since then, he’s gone T34, T22, 10, P2 and last year missed the cut. There’s a lot of pride on the line, and he gets huge support in Canada. It’s been a little better than workmanlike in ’06 for him, with six top-10s to go with only two missed cuts and most of his finishes under 50.

Take Jim Furyk (7-1), 1/6 unit: I have to go with Furyk instead of Singh this week. They’re having comparable years, each with a win, each with a bunch of top-10s. Furyk’s got about a million more earned this year, but this is really a coin flip kind of pick because these are the two best players in the field by far. You can look at Singh’s loss last week as maybe staying in his head this week, or he’s going in with confidence. Given Tiger, given that Singh was three up going into the last round and lost by two, I’m giving the edge to Furyk.

In the head-to-head, take Weir to finish higher than Ryan Moore (8-11), 1 unit: You have to look at the MC last year as an aberration. Weir gets especially pumped up for this tournament. The course, short and on the penal side, particularly suits the accurate-driving Weir. Moore finished T2 in the tournament last year, but in this his first full year on Tour, he’s missed six cuts in 17 tourneys entered. Weir’s missed the two cuts in 20 entered. As you can see, this isn't going to pay huge but it's practically guaranteed.